The and clash at Lambeau Field on "Sunday Night Football" in Week 18 as both teams make their final playoff push in the regular season finale. Detroit needs a win and lo s to the to make the postseason and Green Bay needs a win.The pivotal game features a matchup of the hottest quarterback in the league, who is surprisingly not named , against the hottest defense in the league. leads the NFL in expected points added (EPA) per dropback since his first matchup with the Packers at Ford Field in Week 9, where Detroit entered with just a 1-6 record. Goff has not thrown an interception since that game and has now thrown 290 straight pa ses without being picked off, the longest streak in franchise history. He's suddenly gone from an afterthought to one of the best pa sers in the league in an dangerous Lions offense."It's an explosive offense. I think they do a great job schematically and present a lot of challenges," Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said this week. Goff will be putting his hot streak on the line against a Packers defense that has done a 180 since the start of their four-game win streak. Over that span they are tied for the lead league in interceptions. Looking at the Trevor Bauer Jersey numbers side by side just since Week 13 and you can see how this strength-vs.-strength matchup could decide the game.Pa sing Since Week 13Jared GoffPackers DefensePa s TD-INT12-0 **4-9 **Pa ser rating113.0 **71.1** The Packers' defensive turnaround hasn't been an accident. Green Bay has changed its style on defense, going from blitzing at the second-high rate in the NFL during the 4-8 start to the second-lowest rate in the league during the win streak. The Packers have also gone from playing zone coverage at a league-average rate to the highest mark during their hot streak. The results? More defenders in coverage with eyes on the quarterback has led to an opportunistic defense.Case in point: the deflection here by into the waiting arms of for a pick-six last Sunday against the .Green Bay flexed its muscle by holding to just one catch in Week 17, including none in the first half, putting his record-setting season on hold.There is a matchup within the matchup the Lions can exploit, though. When Goff was at his best with the Rams in 2018 he was one of the best play-action pa sers in the league. Detroit has recaptured that magic in 2022 as Goff leads the NFL in EPA per dropback, pa ser rating and touchdown pa ses off play action this season. The numbers are sizzling over the last month or so too. Green Bay allows the third-highest pa ser rating defending play action this season, compared with the lowest pa ser rating in the league when it doesn't see play action. Even during the four-game win streak, the Packers have allowed the highest yards per pa s attempt against play fakes (11.9).Detroit's play-action pa sing game has been particularly effective in the most crucial spots. The Lions have the highest third- and fourth-down conversion rate using play fakes (11-12) this season. Goff's 51-yard, game-winning touchdown to against the in Week 15 used a play fake on fourth-and-1.It's also been nearly unstoppable in the red area. Goff has thrown a touchdown pa s on 12 of 16 play-action dropbacks (75 percent) in goal-to-goal situations this year. All eyes were in the backfield on this easy touchdown pa s by Goff against the in Week 16.The Packers defense has Don Sutton Jersey faced two prolific play-action pa sers in the last month-and-a-half with poor results. The unit allowed nearly 20 yards per attempt vs. the on these plays, including an 84-yard touchdown to where the middle linebacker was out of position and Douglas took a bad angle on the tackle.The defense allowed 14 yards per attempt against in Week 11. Even though the Packers give up big chunks in the play-action pa sing game, they still have some playmakers in the secondary who can swing the game with a big play. Douglas' pick of Tannehill here is one of the better reads this season. In a prime-time game with a playoff atmosphere at Lambeau Field, it could be this matchup, and maybe one play, that swings the balance of the game.
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